ATP Cali Challenger — Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gonzalo Bueno
Round: Quarterfinal • Surface: Clay • Location: Cali, Colombia
🧠 Form & Context
Juan Pablo Varillas (PER, #313, righty, 30)
- 2025: 23–13 overall | 23–12 on clay (all wins on clay).
- Cali: d. Heredia 6–4, 6–4; d. Guillén Meza in 3 sets.
- H2H: Leads 3–0 vs Bueno (twice in 2025, both straight sets).
- Notes: Proven CH-level closer; former world #60.
Gonzalo Bueno (PER, #241, righty, 21)
- 2025: 37–26 overall | 35–26 on clay.
- Cali: d. Linde Palacios 6–2, 6–2; d. Habib 6–3, 6–4.
- Notes: Breakthrough summer with deep clay runs and a title; still yet to take a set off Varillas.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Category | Edge | Quick Note |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking / Momentum | Bueno (slight) | Higher live rank, heavy 2025 volume. |
| Clay Résumé (career) | Varillas | Established at CH/ATP level on clay. |
| H2H | Varillas | Leads 3–0; two wins in 2025 (straight sets). |
| Big-Match Reps | Varillas | Former top-60, more late-round experience. |
| Shot Patterns | Even | Bueno first-strike youth vs Varillas rally tolerance. |
🔎 Full Match Breakdown
Serve targets, rally maps, live-bet triggers, and fair pricing are in the Patreon post.
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