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Sonego vs Cerúndolo — ATP Chengdu Preview
ATP Chengdu
Hard Court
Round 1
🧠 Form & Context
Lorenzo Sonego (#44)
- 🔺 Solid summer at ATP level: Toronto & Cincinnati R3, Wimbledon R16.
- 🔧 2025 on hard: 10–11 (indoor 2–2, grass 5–4). First-strike tennis — serve + forehand to finish on ball 2–3.
- ⚠️ Recent wobble: USO 1R in 5 vs Schoolkate; some deciding-set slippage.
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo (#72)
- 🚀 Arrives hot: Guangzhou-2 Challenger champion last week (Asian swing momentum).
- 🧭 Profile: Lefty, clay-bred rhythm player who extends rallies; 2025 on hard 7–5 — much lighter top-tier volume than Sonego.
- 🧱 Step-up test: Wins mostly at Challenger level; faces a heavier first-ball hitter here.
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
| Factor | Who’s Favored | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| First-strike firepower | Sonego | Serve + FH patterns suited to quicker holds on outdoor hard. |
| Rally tolerance | Cerúndolo | Lefty rhythm extends exchanges; looks to drag points long. |
| Top-tier hard-court reps | Sonego | Deeper ATP main-draw volume this season. |
| Recent title momentum | Cerúndolo | Guangzhou-2 trophy fuels confidence entering R1. |
| Deciding-set composure | Even | Sonego’s recent slip vs Schoolkate noted; Cerúndolo stepping up a level. |
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