Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaur

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Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaur — US Open R16 Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round of 16 Night Session

🧠 Form & Context

Leandro Riedi (🇨🇭, 23, ATP #435)

• ✨ Breakthrough fortnight: Qualified, then d. Martínez (3–0), Cerúndolo (3–2), and advanced over Majchrzak (ret.).
• 📈 Career reboot after 2024 injury layoff; this NYC run rockets him back toward the top 200.
• 🎯 First-ever Slam second week, first-ever top-10 opponent.
• 💥 Game: Strong first strike, quick acceleration, but vulnerable in extended rallies.

Alex de Minaur (🇦🇺, 26, ATP #8)

• 🚀 Flawless USO week one: d. O’Connell, Mochizuki, Altmaier in straights (Altmaier retired).
• 🧱 Reliable in Slams: 4 wins in last 5 R16s, QFs at USO 2020 & RG 2024.
• ⚡ Style: Supreme movement, elite counter-puncher, thrives in long rallies.
• 📊 2025 Hard record: 24–8. Ruthless vs lower-ranked players.

🔍 Match Breakdown

🏃 Endurance factor: De Minaur thrives in best-of-five, while Riedi’s fitness at this stage is untested.

🎾 Serve dynamics: Riedi must protect serve and shorten rallies; De Minaur will extend points and test his patience.

🧠 Composure: Stadium pressure and scoreboard weight tilt heavily toward the Aussie.

📌 Key pattern: De Minaur’s backhand crosscourt to Riedi’s forehand wing—dragging him wide before redirecting.

🔮 Prediction

This is the type of matchup De Minaur rarely lets slip. Riedi can ride the adrenaline and steal a tight set if he serves big, but sustaining level across three is unlikely.

Pick: De Minaur in 3 sets (routine but competitive middle set).