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Berfu Cengiz vs Renata Zarazúa — São Paulo R16
🧠 Form & Context
Berfu Cengiz (🇹🇷, #565, Righty)
- 🔺 Entered via MD win over Ortenzi 6–1, 6–2.
- 🛠️ 2025 has been rough: just 3–9 overall, mostly ITF grind with few tour wins.
- 📉 Hard-court struggles (0–2 this year); relies on extended rallies to disrupt rhythm.
Renata Zarazúa (🇲🇽, #84, Righty, 160 cm/55 kg)
- 🔥 R1: d. Fullana 6–2, 6–1 with confident tempo.
- 🏆 2025 highlight: US Open R1 upset of Keys.
- ⚖️ 2025 mixed (22–26 overall, 10–14 hard) but thrives in Mexico with crowd lift and comfort.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Serve/Return. Cengiz lacks a consistent first-strike delivery; Zarazúa’s return pressure should expose the second serve.
Baseline dynamics. Cengiz prefers grinding exchanges, but Zarazúa brings higher rally tolerance and disruptive spins to break rhythm.
Intangibles. Latin American crowd tilt favors Zarazúa. Cengiz needs an unusually high first-serve % to stay attached.
🔮 Prediction
Pick: Zarazúa in 2 sets (around 6–3, 6–4). She holds the big levers—serve consistency, rally DNA, and local confidence. Cengiz can make patches scrappy, but the matchup leans clearly one way unless Renata’s errors spike and Berfu drags points long.
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