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Rybakina vs Vondroušová — US Open R16 Preview
WTA US Open
Hard Court
Round of 16
🧠 Form & Context
Elena Rybakina (No. 10, 🇰🇿, 26)
- ✅ NYC week: Pareja 6–3, 6–0; Valentová 7–6, 6–3; Raducanu 6–1, 6–2 — all straights.
- 🔥 Summer swing: SFs in Washington, Montreal, Cincinnati; d. Sabalenka in Cincy QF.
- 📈 First USO second week of career; aiming for first Slam QF in 12+ months.
- 💣 Identity: elite serve, first-strike forehand, quick +1 patterns.
Markéta Vondroušová (No. 60, 🇨🇿, 26, lefty)
- ✅ NYC week: Selekhmeteva, Kessler, Paolini — all in straights, each with one TB.
- 🌱 2025 highlights: Berlin title (over Sabalenka in SF), steady rebuild after injury layoff.
- 🏟️ USO comfort: 3rd second-week run (QF in 2023).
- 🎭 Identity: lefty angles, disguise, slices/trajectories, superb redirect off BH.
H2H: 1–1 (Rybakina Rome ’23 R16; Vondroušová Moscow ’21 R1)
🔍 Match Breakdown
- Serve axis: Rybakina’s first serve is the biggest single edge on this court; free points + short replies feed her +1 forehand line change. Vondroušová must dent the body serve and float low, skidding returns to draw rallies wider than 4–5 shots.
- Rally geometry: If Rybakina lands >65% 1st serves, exchanges stay short and linear. If not, Vondroušová’s variety (lefty FH cross, BH slice, drop-shots) can stretch patterns and pull errors, especially to the Kazakh’s BH sideline.
- Tension points: Vondroušová has lived in breakers all week; that hints she’s navigating score pressure well. But Rybakina’s TB résumé on hard and superior first-strike weapons are usually decisive in coin-flip ga
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