Yoshihito Nishioka vs Jenson Brooksby

ATP Washington 1st Round Preview: Yoshihito Nishioka vs Jenson Brooksby

🧠 Form & Context

Jenson Brooksby
🔙 Redemption arc in motion: From unranked to inside the top 100 in six months, Brooksby has surged since returning from suspension.
🏠 Hard-court pedigree: All his best ATP results have come on American hard courts—title in Houston, SF in Washington (2021), and a solid 2025 campaign.
📈 Recent momentum: Eastbourne finalist, Wimbledon 2R—he’s trending up and growing sharper with each match.
🧠 Motivated rematch: He’s 0–2 vs Nishioka, but both were in 2022. The current version of Brooksby is more battle-tested and physically fresher.

Yoshihito Nishioka
🚑 Injury woes: Six retirements in 2025, including in Stuttgart, French Open, and Miami. Match fitness is a major question mark.
📉 Freefalling form: On an 8-match losing streak with his last win coming in February at Delray Beach.
🏆 Happy hunting ground?: Finalist here in 2022—but hasn’t won a match at this event since then.
⚠️ If healthy...: His lefty angles and counterpunching could frustrate rhythm players like Brooksby—*but "if" is doing heavy lifting here*.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Washington’s medium-slow hard courts suit Brooksby’s game to a tee. He loves grinding rallies, redirecting pace early, and forcing opponents to move—tough for someone like Nishioka who has lacked match fitness all year.

The Japanese lefty’s crafty style and past wins over Brooksby make this less than a walkover on paper. But unless he magically finds 2022-level stamina and intensity, Brooksby’s consistency and superior court coverage should wear him down.

If this becomes a physical contest, it’s hard to see Nishioka keeping up—especially over two long sets with Brooksby’s suffocating style.

🔮 Prediction

The head-to-head favors Nishioka, but everything else—form, fitness, and trajectory—leans strongly Brooksby. Unless the American has a bad day or Nishioka rediscovers vintage form, this is his match to lose.

Prediction: Brooksby in 2 sets. The rallies may be long early, but Brooksby should control the tempo and force errors from a weary opponent.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Stat	Yoshihito Nishioka	Jenson Brooksby
ATP Rank	89	102
2025 Record (All Surfaces)	9–11	19–15
Hard Court Record (2025)	5–4	14–6 (including U.S. events)
Last 10 Matches	0–10 (6 retirements)	6–4 (including Wimbledon 2R)
Head-to-Head	2–0	0–2
Best Result in Washington	Final (2022)	Semifinal (2021)

🏷️ Labels:

ATP Washington, Jenson Brooksby, Yoshihito Nishioka, Hard Court, Tennis Predictions, US Open Series, Tennis Betting