Juan Pablo Ficovich 🇦🇷 vs Aleksandar Kovacevic 🇺🇸

ATP Los Cabos – Quarterfinal
Hard Court | Thursday, 18 July

🎾 Juan Pablo Ficovich 🇦🇷 vs Aleksandar Kovacevic 🇺🇸

🧠 Form & Context

Juan Pablo Ficovich
✅ Rare hard-court surge: Back-to-back main draw wins over Kachmazov and Halys mark his first such run at ATP level this year.
⚙️ Clay-court roots: Traditionally a dirt specialist, but his 6–3 record on hard courts in 2025 shows promising adaptability.
📈 Match mileage: Over 50 matches played this season (28–22), including finals in Córdoba and Merida (both clay).
⚔️ H2H tied: He and Kovacevic are 1–1 head-to-head, though they haven’t played since 2022.

Aleksandar Kovacevic
🔥 Breakout year: Secured a surprise ATP title in 2025 and took down Rublev in Montpellier.
🏝️ Los Cabos comfort: Into his third straight QF at this event, having dropped just one set en route.
🎾 Surface-savvy: Thrives in quicker conditions—owns a 12–3 indoor record and is 9–5 on hard courts this year.
🇺🇸 Fresh legs: After a grueling grass season (5-set loss at Wimbledon), he’s recovered well and looks re-energized.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a contrast in tempo: Ficovich prefers long, high-spin rallies from the baseline, while Kovacevic will aim to dictate with compact, first-strike tennis.

Keys to the match:

• Kovacevic: Shorten points, attack second serves, and control center court with his flatter, aggressive groundstrokes.
• Ficovich: Extend rallies, neutralize pace with high topspin, and hope to draw errors or test Kovacevic's patience.

In these conditions, Kovacevic holds the advantage—he’s confident in Los Cabos, fresher physically, and stylistically better suited to the court speed. Ficovich has exceeded expectations but is unlikely to grind out a third straight win against a player this sharp.

🔮 Prediction

Kovacevic’s hard-court form and composure in this setting make him a strong favorite. Unless Ficovich dominates long exchanges, this should be a composed win for the American.

🧩 Projected result: Kovacevic in 2 sets (one likely tight)
Confidence: ★★★☆☆ – solid edge for the American; back ML or –3.5 games if market allows.