Alexei Popyrin 🇦🇺 vs Nicolas Arseneault 🇨🇦

🎾 Alexei Popyrin 🇦🇺 vs Nicolas Arseneault 🇨🇦 – ATP Montreal R2 Preview

📅 National Bank Open · Outdoor Hard · Wednesday, July 31

🧠 Form & Context

Alexei Popyrin (ATP #26)

• 📉 Downward trend: 13–18 overall record in 2025, including nine first-round exits in 16 events.
• ⚠️ Defending champ pressure: Holds 1,000 points from his stunning 2024 title run here (def. Shelton, Dimitrov, Rublev), plus US Open R4 points looming.
• ⚖️ Big-stage credentials: Masters champion and Slam upset-maker, with the firepower to dominate when on-song.

Nicolas Arseneault (ATP #638)

• 🚀 Wildcard dream: Earned first Masters main-draw win by beating Royer 6–3, 7–6 as a last-minute sub.
• 🌱 Teen spirit: Just 18, barely any ATP experience, but showcased composure and shot tolerance in R1.
• 💥 Confidence surge: Already climbed 100+ live ranking spots and plays with nothing to lose in front of home fans.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Style clash: Popyrin’s heavy first serve and flat forehand seek quick control; Arseneault uses court coverage and return angles to disrupt rhythm.
• Return dynamics: If Arseneault reads Popyrin’s serve early, especially second serves, the Canadian could apply pressure with bold returns.
• Mentality matchup: Popyrin is under enormous ranking pressure; Arseneault swings freely with crowd backing and zero expectations.
• Endurance & composure: Popyrin has played long best-of-three tour matches consistently. Arseneault must manage nerves and physical dips if pushed to a tiebreak or deep second set.

🔮 Prediction

Alexei Popyrin should survive the scare. His bigger weapons, Masters experience, and urgency from defending his title should get him across the line—though expect a tight affair, especially if Arseneault serves well and rides the home-crowd momentum.

🧩 Prediction: Alexei Popyrin def. Nicolas Arseneault – 7–6, 6–4