ATP Beijing — Semifinal: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev
Event: China Open • Round: Semifinal • Surface: Hard
🧠 Form & Context
Learner Tien (🇺🇸 #52)
- 🚀 Breakthrough week: first ATP semifinal; debut run in Beijing.
- 🧱 Path: d. Cerúndolo 2–1, d. Cobolli 2–0, d. Musetti (led 3–0 in the 3rd after split sets).
- 🎯 Top-10 scalps: 5 wins in 7 tries this year; belief high since AO upset of Medvedev.
- 🖐️ H2H edge: 1–0 vs Medvedev (AO five-setter).
Daniil Medvedev (🇷🇺 #18)
- 🔄 Turning the corner: new coaching setup and a clean week so far.
- 🧊 Path: d. Norrie 2–0, d. A. Davidovich Fokina 2–0, d. Zverev 2–0 — no set beyond 6–4.
- 🧠 Motivation: chance to avenge AO loss to Tien that derailed his 2025 start.
- 📉 Season quirk: 11 losses to non–Top 50 in 24 matches pre-Beijing; minimizing lapses this week.
🔢 Head-to-Head
Tien leads 1–0 (Australian Open 2025, five sets).
🔍 Full Breakdown & Value Bets
Read the complete Tien vs Medvedev analysis on Patreon — coffee price access.
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