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Martin vs Llamas Ruiz — US Open Qualifying Preview
ATP US Open
Hard Court
Qualifying
🧠 Form & Context
Andres Martin
- 🇺🇸 American on the rise, first US Open qualifying campaign.
- 📈 2025: 40–19 overall, 31–15 on hard — proven in US conditions.
- 🔥 Recent run: Bloomfield Hills Challenger finalist (d. Spizzirri, Galarneau; l. Lajal in 3).
- ✅ Q1 win: handled Durasovic 6–2, 6–3 to open this campaign.
- ⚙️ Style: aggressive baseliner with reliable hard‑court patterns.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
- 🇪🇸 Clay‑leaning Spaniard with versatility to compete on hard.
- 📉 Rank 355 (CH 131), rebuilding after dropping outside the top 200.
- ✅ New York start: came back to beat Hanfmann in three.
- 🧱 2025: 21–16 overall; 15–9 clay, just 3–4 hard.
- 🚨 Fitness watch: two recent retirements (Umag, Cancun) raise durability flags.
- 🎯 Strength: consistent rally tolerance, but lacks Martin’s HC explosiveness.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Surface edge: Martin owns the HC reps and thrives on quicker US bounce; Llamas Ruiz’s 2025 hard sample is thin.
Momentum & physicality: Challenger form and a clean Q1 for Martin vs. Llamas Ruiz’s up‑and‑down fitness profile.
Patterns: Expect Martin to dictate with first‑strike tennis; Llamas Ruiz will look to lengthen rallies and test errors, especially in longer exchanges.
🔮 Prediction
Martin looks better prepared for these conditions and should control more service points. If nerves or error clusters creep in, Llamas Ruiz can drag this into the trenches, but the American’s form and fitness lean carry weight.
Pick: Andres Martin in two tight sets — something like 7–5, 6–4 feels live.
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
- Surface fit: Edge Martin (heavy HC workload) over Llamas Ruiz (limited 2025 HC).
- First‑strike: Martin’s serve + FH patterns vs. Llamas Ruiz’s rally consistency.
- Durability: Question marks on the Spaniard after recent retirements.
- Form snapshot: Martin trending up off the Challenger swing.
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