Diane Parry vs Marta Kostyuk

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Diane Parry vs Marta Kostyuk — US Open 3R Preview

WTA US Open Hard Court 3rd Round

🧠 Form & Context

Diane Parry (No. 107, 🇫🇷, 22)

• ✨ NYC surge: d. Kvitová 6–1, 6–0; d. Zarazúa 6–2, 2–6, 7–6.
• 🎯 2025 hard: 4–4 (improving week-to-week).
• 🪄 Tools: skidding slice BH, change of pace, smart patterns — great for disrupting rhythm.
• 📈 Slam ceiling: five tries to reach R16; still hunting the breakthrough.

Marta Kostyuk (No. 28, 🇺🇦, 23)

• 🔥 NYC run: d. Boulter 6–4, 6–4; d. Sönmez 7–5, 6–7, 6–3 (gritty escape).
• 💥 2025 hard: 16–11 with quality scalps this summer (Kasatkina, Vondroušová, etc.).
• 🩹 Recent niggles: retired in Montreal QF, withdrew from Cincinnati 3R; fitness trending up but watch recovery.
• 📚 R3 history: 2–8 at majors (0–2 at USO) — chance to flip that script.

Head-to-Head: Kostyuk leads 2–0 (both 2022, straight sets).

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🧱 Style clash: Parry’s slice/tempo shifts vs Kostyuk’s first-strike aggression. If Parry keeps the ball low and short-angles the FH, she can draw errors; if Kostyuk lands a high 1st-serve clip and steps inside baseline, rallies tilt her way.
• ⏱️ Physicality: Both logged mileage in R2; Kostyuk’s recent injuries add a small volatility tax.
• 🎯 Key lanes: Parry BH slice to de-speed the ad court; Kostyuk FH inside-out to open Parry’s BH corner, then finish line or net.
• 🧠 Scoreboard pressure: Early breaks favor Kostyuk’s tempo; long, neutral rallies favor Parry’s craft.

🔮 Prediction

Knife-edge on the day’s execution. Parry has real upset equity if she drags this into pattern chess; however, the higher top gear and recent hard-court wins lean blue-and-yellow.

Pick: Kostyuk in 3 sets.