Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

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Bublik vs Paul — US Open 3R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 3

🧠 Form & Context

Alexander Bublik (No. 24, 🇰🇿, 28)

• 🔥 Red-hot summer: back-to-back clay titles (Gstaad, Kitzbühel) + Halle title shot; RG QF.
• 🗽 NYC start: routine straights over Čilić & Schoolkate (no set over 6–4).
• 💣 Identity: free-flow serve bombs, surprise pace changes, feel at net.
• ⚠️ Variance: can spray when rushed on the BH wing.

Tommy Paul (No. 14, 🇺🇸, 28)

• 💪 Slam grit: AO QF, RG QF this year; consistently into week-two at majors since 2023.
• 🗽 NYC start: d. Möller in straights; survived Borges in 5 after blowing a 2-set lead.
• 🧭 Identity: ultra-solid from both wings, patterns + footwork, elite counterpunching.
• ⚠️ Load: marathon R2 may leave some legs in debt.

H2H: Paul leads 5–1 (incl. 2025 Miami comeback win).
Odds (avg): Bublik 1.74 / Paul 2.09.

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