Khachanov K. vs Majchrzak K.

ATP Wimbledon: Khachanov K. vs Majchrzak K.

🧠 Form & Context

Karen Khachanov
🧱 Built for Slams: Often finds his rhythm in best-of-five, especially when avoiding top-10 opposition.
❌ 15 losses in 2025: All against top-20 players (0–9) — struggling to raise level vs elites.
⏳ Grinding form: Dropped sets to Mochizuki and Borges, but relied on serve and experience to survive.
📉 Vulnerable, but unbroken: Hasn't lost to a player ranked outside the top 50 at a Slam this year.
📍 Wimbledon history: Quarterfinalist in 2021, now back in the second week — leads H2H vs Majchrzak 3–0. Kamil Majchrzak
🚀 Career-best Slam run: Took out Berrettini in five sets and Rinderknech in straights — thriving at SW19.
🔙 Back from ban: Missed most of 2023, but has gained traction in 2024–25 with solid Challenger and ATP-level results.
📉 Winless vs top-20: 0–8 in such matchups, hasn't solved this tier yet.
🧱 Resilience on show: Won all three tiebreaks this week and dug deep in pressure moments.
📍 First time in second week at Wimbledon: Playing freely and climbing toward Top 100 again.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Khachanov hasn’t dazzled at Wimbledon, but he doesn’t need to. His serve, poise in best-of-five, and experience at this level have bailed him out against lower-ranked players. He leads the H2H 3–0, with all matches competitive but under his control. Majchrzak arrives with momentum and nothing to lose. His flat strokes and movement have translated well to grass, and his confidence is high after beating Berrettini. However, Khachanov’s ability to dig in during late sets gives him the edge in the clutch. This could be tighter than many expect — a few tiebreaks wouldn’t be a surprise — but Khachanov’s Slam pedigree makes him a solid favorite.

🔮 Prediction

Khachanov in 4 sets. Expect a competitive fight, likely featuring one or two tiebreaks, but the Russian’s experience and serve should carry him past a spirited Majchrzak.

📊 Tale of the Tape

• H2H: Khachanov leads 3–0
• 2025 W/L: Khachanov 20–15 | Majchrzak 18–11 (including Challengers)
• Grass W/L 2025: Khachanov 5–2 | Majchrzak 6–1
• Tiebreaks Won This Week: Khachanov 1–1 | Majchrzak 3–0
• Break Point Save %: Khachanov 75% | Majchrzak 69%