Sunday, July 6, 2025

Sabalenka vs Mertens

🎾 WTA Wimbledon – Sabalenka vs Mertens

🧠 Form & Context

Aryna Sabalenka

  • 🔥 Top seed form: World No. 1 has handled three tricky opponents in straight sets, though needed tiebreaks in key moments—hinting at set-closing pressure.
  • 💪 Big Slam presence: Extended her streak of R16 or better at majors since the 2022 US Open—holds a 12–3 record in Slam 4th rounds.
  • 🎯 Wimbledon pedigree: Reached the semifinals here in 2021 and 2023—now bidding for her third SW19 semi.
  • 🤝 H2H dominance: Has won 9 straight vs Mertens since 2019, including 2 wins already this season.

Elise Mertens

  • 🌿 Grass momentum: 8–1 on grass in 2025, including a Rosmalen title and a solid 3R win over Svitolina.
  • ⚠️ 4R trouble: This is her 15th Slam R4, but she’s just 3–11 at this stage and hasn’t made a Slam QF since 2020.
  • Style mismatch: Tends to struggle against high-paced, aggressive baseliners—like Sabalenka.

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