Cerúndolo vs Buse

🇨🇭 ATP Gstaad – Semifinal

Juan Manuel Cerúndolo vs Ignacio Buse

🧠 Form & Context

Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
The Argentine lefty has found form deep into the 2025 clay swing. He’s fresh off impressive wins over Goffin and Ruud in Gstaad and is into his best run of the year. Cerúndolo has racked up 36 clay-court wins this season (36–20 overall), though every match this week has gone the distance.

He’s shown flashes of his 2021 breakthrough game—using lefty angles, drop shots, and clever point construction to frustrate opponents. That said, wear and tear is building, with more than 50 matches under his belt this year and a grueling summer behind him.

Ignacio Buse
Buse is in uncharted territory—this is only his second career ATP main-draw appearance, and he’s made the most of it. The 21-year-old from Peru has fought through three tough rounds, taking out Djere, Majchrzak, and Burruchaga, all in extended battles.

He brings solid clay pedigree with a 24–12 clay record this year and plenty of Challenger-level scalps. His confidence is surging after winning 11 of his last 14 matches, and physically he looks fresh and hungry.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Expect long rallies and tactical shifts in this battle of baseline grinders. Cerúndolo has the edge in finesse and experience, particularly with his lefty forehand and short-angle backhand—tools that can disrupt Buse’s rhythm and court positioning.

However, Buse has shown a serious ability to absorb pressure, recover in matches, and find ways to win. He’ll likely have the physical edge if this turns into another three-set war, and Cerúndolo’s recent match load could be a factor in tight moments.

This matchup could come down to who manages their legs and nerves better late in the second set. If Buse can force extended exchanges and stretch the match, the upset door will swing open.

🔮 Prediction

Cerúndolo’s higher ceiling, clay-court IQ, and lefty variations give him the upper hand. But Buse is playing fearlessly and has nothing to lose. With both trending toward grinding rallies and three-setters, this may again go the distance.

🧩 Projected score: Cerúndolo wins 6–4, 3–6, 6–3
Confidence: ★★★☆☆