Alexander Bublik 🇰🇿 vs. Alexander Shevchenko 🇷🇺

🎾 ATP Kitzbühel 2025 – Quarterfinal Preview

Alexander Bublik 🇰🇿 vs. Alexander Shevchenko 🇷🇺

🗓️ 24 July 2025 | 🕑 14:00 | 🏟️ Outdoor Clay | 🇦🇹 Kitzbühel

🧠 Form & Context

Alexander Bublik
🔥 In scorching form: Has won 11 of his last 12 matches, capturing the Gstaad title and easing into the Kitzbühel quarters.
👑 Clay King 2.0? Now 20–6 on clay in 2025 with titles in Turin and Gstaad, plus a quarterfinal at Roland Garros.
🧠 Mastery over opponent: Leads the H2H 3–0 vs. Shevchenko, including a 6-2, 6-3 win in Gstaad just last week. Has yet to drop a set in this matchup.

Alexander Shevchenko
💥 Fighting through: Took down Galan and Fucsovics in tight contests—needing three sets in R1 but showing mental grit.
📉 Struggles vs top players: Just 1–9 against top-30 opponents in 2025. Bublik has routinely dictated their past meetings.
📊 Clay season: A respectable 19–15 on clay, though most wins have come at the Challenger level or versus lower-ranked competition.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a rematch from last week’s Gstaad encounter, and the dynamics remain heavily tilted in Bublik’s favor. The faster, altitude-affected clay in Kitzbühel arguably plays even more into his hands.

🎯 Bublik has been keeping rallies short with an unpredictable mix of drop shots, net rushes, and flat pace. His serve remains a massive weapon.
⛓️ Shevchenko is consistent but lacks the explosive weapons needed to disrupt Bublik’s rhythm.
📌 For Shevchenko to threaten an upset, he needs a lights-out serving performance and to draw Bublik into longer, awkward exchanges—but that’s easier said than done when the Kazakh is fully engaged.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Bublik in 2 sets — His dominant head-to-head, confidence streak, and superior clay form make him the clear favorite. Unless he self-destructs mentally, it’s tough to see Shevchenko turning the tide.