ATP Wimbledon – 1st Round
Vit Kopriva vs Jordan Thompson
🧠 Form & Context
- Jordan Thompson
⚠️ 2025 has been derailed by injury: Only 17 matches played with three mid-match retirements.
🍃 Grass-court pedigree remains: 68–49 career record, including 12 wins in 2023.
🎾 Wimbledon struggles: 1 third-round appearance in 8 tries (2021).
📉 Recent setback: Retired against Munar at Queen’s Club; lacking rhythm and match sharpness.
💥 Still has the tools: Effective serve-and-volleyer with quick hands at net, but health is a big question mark. - Vit Kopriva
🧗♂️ Breakthrough 2025: Entered Top 100 for the first time after a productive clay swing, including a main-draw win at Roland-Garros.
🍀 Friendlier draw this year: Faced Djokovic in R1 last Wimbledon—now gets a hobbled opponent.
🌱 Grass unfamiliarity: Minimal experience on the surface, mostly in qualifiers or lower-tier events.
🧱 Grit and grind: Built for physical rallies, mentally solid, but technique doesn't naturally translate to grass.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Thompson’s game is tailor-made for grass: compact strokes, chip-and-charge instincts, and high net IQ. If fully fit, he’d be the clear favorite here. But his 2025 has been a series of injury concerns, abrupt retirements, and missed rhythm-building opportunities.
Kopriva, on the other hand, is fit and confident—even if he lacks the movement and instincts for low-bouncing grass rallies. He’ll likely be content to extend rallies and exploit any dip in Thompson’s legs or confidence. With Thompson potentially lacking five-set stamina, the Czech's endurance and mental grind could swing this match in his favor.
🔮 Prediction
This is a classic upset watch. Thompson may start strong on muscle memory and experience, but unless he wins quickly, Kopriva’s consistency and fitness could flip the match. Expect long rallies and increasing physical strain on the Aussie.
Prediction: Kopriva in 4 sets. Thompson could take the opener, but Kopriva’s durability and timing look better suited to outlast him in a best-of-five.
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