Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzi

ATP Wimbledon – 1st Round
Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzi

🧠 Form & Context

• Daniil Medvedev
  🧱 Grass consistency: 61–26 career record on grass, including back-to-back Wimbledon semifinals (2023 & 2024).
  🔥 Big wins, no titles: Took down Zverev in Halle SF, but fell to Bublik in the final—his title drought stretches past two years.
  🧬 Built for Slams: Has never lost in the first round at Wimbledon (6–0) and holds a 10-match win streak vs French players.
  📉 Vulnerabilities: Patchy 2025 form (23–13), including a surprise loss to Norrie at Roland-Garros. Mental dips and physical fragility still linger.


• Benjamin Bonzi
  🧩 Slam R1 specialist: 9–6 all-time in Grand Slam first rounds; 2–1 at Wimbledon, including wins in 2021 and 2022.
  📉 Form issues: Winless in tour-level main draws since his upset over Hurkacz in April (Madrid).
  ⚠️ Struggles vs elites: 1–6 vs Top 10, with that lone win coming in a dead rubber vs Ruud (Metz '24).
  🔁 Grass prep: Early exits in Mallorca, Halle, and Stuttgart—still shaking off rust.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This clash pairs an under-the-radar grass juggernaut in Medvedev against a competent but out-of-form Bonzi. Daniil’s game thrives on grass not because of aggression but through suffocating depth, robotic returning, and relentless court coverage.

Bonzi, to his credit, tends to deliver solid Slam openers and possesses a clean, flat forehand that works well on low-bouncing turf. He’s pesky, tactically sharp, and can frustrate with variation. However, without a true weapon, he’ll need Medvedev to falter—especially on second serve or in focus.

Expect Bonzi to flirt with stealing a set if he targets Daniil’s deep return stance with drop shots or successful net approaches, but it likely won’t hold for long across five sets.

🔮 Prediction

Medvedev may not make this a clinic, but his Wimbledon track record speaks volumes. Barring a lapse in concentration, he should control proceedings with routine precision. Bonzi’s best chance is to strike early and create scoreboard pressure, but the Russian’s composure and consistency should carry him through.

Prediction: Medvedev in 4 sets — brief turbulence, but safely through.