WTA Rabat – Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic

WTA Rabat – Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic

🧠 Form & Context

🇪🇸 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
🌱 Breakout season: The 22-year-old Spaniard is enjoying a breakthrough 2025, especially on clay (8–4).
🔥 Momentum player: Back-to-back QFs in Rouen and Rabat with recent wins over Nahimana, Grabher, and Svitolina.
📈 Building consistency: First time reaching consecutive tour-level QFs—showing improved maturity and match management.
⛔ Limited top-tier exposure: First meeting against a player with multiple WTA SF+ runs this season.

🇦🇺 Ajla Tomljanovic
🎢 Comeback rhythm: Returning strong from injury, now 6–4 on clay in 2025.
✅ Clutch in Rabat: Beat Pieri and Tomova in straight sets, showcasing rally tolerance and tactical experience.
🇲🇦 Rabat veteran: QF or better in 2018, 2019, and 2022—familiar with conditions and match pacing here.
💪 Recent resurgence: Wins over Pegula and Stearns in Charleston confirmed her threat level is still high.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This matchup is a contrast of styles and experience. Bouzas Maneiro thrives on rhythm-heavy rallies and is excellent in neutral exchanges, but can struggle to inject pace or finish short balls. Tomljanovic brings depth, defensive poise, and decades of high-stakes tennis under her belt. Statistically, Tomljanovic has the stronger opening-set presence and late-set control. However, Bouzas owns a 75% win rate in deciding sets, making her a serious threat if she can extend the match. Tomljanovic’s backhand will be key in breaking Bouzas' patterns, while Bouzas will try to stretch points and test Ajla’s fitness across long exchanges.

🔮 Prediction

Bouzas Maneiro is a rising force, but Ajla’s Rabat familiarity and big-match experience may prove decisive. Expect momentum shifts and long games. 🧩 Prediction: Tomljanovic in 3 sets — Her composure in pressure moments and tactical experience should edge her past the rising Spaniard.