Dellien H. - Majchrzak K.

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Dellien vs Majchrzak — US Open R1 Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Hugo Dellien (No. 121, age 32)

• 🇧🇴 Clay specialist whose grinding game doesn’t fully translate to hard courts.
• 📉 2025: 27–23 overall, but only 2–3 on hard. Nearly shocked Monfils at Roland Garros (lost in 5), pushed Lehecka at Wimbledon.
• 🏟️ US Open best = R2 (2019, beat Kwon). Winless in main draw since.
• 💡 Strengths: Patience, baseline consistency, fitness.
• ⚠️ Weakness: Limited power on quicker courts; just one ATP hard-court win in his career (USO 2019 via retirement).

Kamil Majchrzak (No. 76, age 29)

• 🇵🇱 Resurgent after suspension, climbing back inside top 80.
• 📈 2025: 32–19 overall, 15–4 on hard — clear surface edge over Dellien.
• 🔥 Summer form: Won Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger, reached Winston-Salem R16 (d. Borges & Jarry, pushed Korda).
• 🏟️ Slam track: Wimbledon 2025 R16; best US Open = R3 (2019).
• ⚠️ Caveat: Fitness fragility, prone to retirements, but arrives in shape this week.

Head-to-Head: 1–1

• 2025 Madrid Challenger: Majchrzak d. Dellien 7–6, 6–1 (hard).
• 2018 Tampere Challenger: Dellien d. Majchrzak 7–6, 3–6, 6–1 (clay).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Majchrzak’s compact, aggressive baseline game is tailor-made for the US Open’s pace. Dellien’s clay-based grinding style rarely holds up against heavy ball-strikers on quick hard courts.

Form favors Majchrzak: 10 wins in his last 13 matches. Dellien’s best results this year have come on clay, with little traction on hard courts. Over five sets, Dellien’s only real path is dragging this into a physical war and testing Majchrzak’s fitness.

🔮 Prediction

With recent form, surface comfort, and their latest hard-court H2H, Majchrzak has the clear upper hand. Dellien could scrap out a set if the Pole wobbles physically, but over five sets the matchup tilts heavily toward Majchrzak.

Pick: Majchrzak in straight sets (3–0).

Brooksby J. - Vukic A.

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Jenson Brooksby vs Aleksandar Vukic — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Jenson Brooksby (No. 92, age 24)

• 🇺🇸 Returned in 2025 after a nearly two-year suspension, ranking rebuilt fast.
• 📊 2025: 21–18 overall, 5–7 on hard; highlight = ATP Houston champion (d. Paul, Tiafoe).
• 🏟️ US Open love: R16 in 2021 (d. Fritz, Karatsev; lost to Djokovic), R3 in 2022.
• 💡 Game: Disruptive tempo, unorthodox strokes, elite court craft.
• ⚠️ North America wobble: 1R exits in Washington & Toronto.

Aleksandar Vukic (No. 95, age 29)

• 🇦🇺 Big-serving, aggressive baseliner; career-high No. 48.
• 📊 2025: 19–28 overall, 9–14 on hard; AO R3 (epics vs Džumhur & Korda, pushed Draper to 5).
• 🏟️ US Open: 0–3 in main draws (all straight-set losses).
• 🔥 Summer: Wins over Norrie & Martínez; Toronto R3, but early exits in Cincy & Winston-Salem.
• ⚠️ Bo5 concern: Yet to win a Slam match outside Australia.

Head-to-head: 1–1
2019 Futures: Brooksby d. Vukic 6–3, 6–1 · 2025 Eastbourne QF: Vukic d. Brooksby 7–5, 6–3.

🔍 Match Breakdown

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📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Brooksby patchy but with a high ceiling; Vukic streaky and travel-dependent.
• Surface fit: NY hard favors Brooksby’s change-ups vs pace; Vukic needs first-strike accuracy.
• Serve/return: Serve edge Vukic; return/neutral patterns edge Brooksby.
• Bo5 factor: Brooksby’s NYC pedigree vs Vukic’s non-AO Slam struggles.
• Intangibles: Home crowd + prior USO runs lean toward Brooksby in tight sets.

Struff J-L. - McDonald M.

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Jan‑Lennard Struff vs Mackenzie McDonald — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Jan‑Lennard Struff (No. 144, age 35)

• 🇩🇪 Big‑serving German, peaked inside the top 20 in 2024; slump since the Paris Olympics.
• 📉 2025: 14–23 overall, 4–9 on hard; qualified here by beating Chidekh, Daniel, and Cazaux.
• 🔥 Slam note: Wimbledon 3R (pushed Alcaraz); RG R1 loss to Ofner.
• 🏟️ US Open: 4–5 in R1s; no win in New York since 2020; has blown leads in 5‑setters.
• 💡 Game: Serve + forehand aggression, but streaky and vulnerable closing sets.

Mackenzie McDonald (No. 100, age 30)

• 🇺🇸 Crafty counter‑puncher, dangerous on home hard courts amid up‑and‑down results.
• 📊 2025: 25–21 overall, 13–10 on hard; won San Diego Challenger (Feb); recent Winston‑Salem R2.
• 🏟️ US Open: 2 career MD wins in 10 tries (best R2 in 2021, 2023).
• 🔥 Slam past: Wimbledon 2018 R16, AO 2021 R16; known for one‑off upsets.
• 💡 Game: Redirects pace, uses timing and court craft more than raw power.

Head‑to‑head: First meeting (0–0).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Form: Both are flaky this season, but McDonald’s hard‑court baseline looks a touch sharper. Struff needed qualies to settle, which helps rhythm but doesn’t erase recent wobble.

Patterns: Struff wants first‑strike tennis—big serve, +1 forehand, short points. McDonald’s best lane is to absorb, redirect, and stretch exchanges until Struff’s error rate climbs.

Physical lens: Over best‑of‑five, the younger, steadier mover has the edge. Struff’s history of late‑match fades and tight‑finish nerves is a risk profile in NYC’s grind.

Intangibles: McDonald hasn’t loved this event historically, but Struff’s closure issues from winning positions keep the door open for momentum swings on Ashe‑adjacent courts.

🔮 Prediction

If Struff lands >65% first serves, he can turn this into coin‑flip sets and sneak a breaker. Over distance, McDonald’s return consistency and rally management are likelier to carry.

Pick: McDonald in four sets (3–1).

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Slight lean McDonald on hard vs Struff’s stop‑start year.
• Surface fit: Struff’s first‑strike weapons vs McDonald’s redirect/control on medium pace.
• Serve/return: Serve edge Struff; return/resets edge McDonald.
• First‑strike vs grind: Struff wants 3–5‑shot points; Mac aims for 8–10+ ball rallies.
• Bo5 factor: Durability and closing chops favor McDonald.
• Nerves/crowd: Home crowd for Mac; Struff’s late‑set volatility a known risk.

Passaro F. - Cobolli F.

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Francesco Passaro vs Flavio Cobolli — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Francesco Passaro (No. 120, age 24)

• 🇮🇹 Qualifier — battled through three rounds to make the main draw.
• 📉 Injury-hit season but still 32–17 overall (24–12 clay, 8–4 hard); two mid-season retirements (Turin, Sassuolo).
• 🔥 Slams 2025: d. Dimitrov (ret.) at AO R1; pushed Jesper De Jong to 5 at Roland Garros.
• 🏟️ US Open: Main-draw debut after 3 failed qualifying attempts.
• 💡 Style: Solid baseliner; stamina is the recurring question over Bo5.

Flavio Cobolli (No. 26, age 23)

• 🇮🇹 Breakout year: two ATP titles (Bucharest, Hamburg) + Wimbledon QF (led Djokovic by a set).
• 📈 Rapid rise to the top 20; 30–21 on the season.
• 📊 Hard in 2025: 6–10, but with progress — Toronto R3 and competitive vs Shelton & Atmane.
• 🏟️ Slams: Wim QF ’25, RG R3, AO R1; US Open best = R3 (2024).
• 💡 Style: Confident all‑courter, dangerous FH, proactive patterns.

Head‑to‑head: Cobolli leads 1–0 (Vicenza 2022, clay, 3 sets).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Form & class: Cobolli rides the momentum of his best season, with marquee results and a hardened big‑match edge. Passaro’s qualifying run is admirable, but his fitness history in long matches is a red flag against a seeded, confident opponent.

Matchup on hard: Cobolli’s flatter, first‑strike aggression should crack open rallies quicker. Passaro’s defense/consistency can grind, yet on this surface Cobolli’s pace and FH patterns are likelier to break through.

Physical lens: In Bo5, Cobolli’s sturdier load across 2025 and Passaro’s prior retirements tilt endurance toward the seed.

Intangibles: Familiarity between countrymen reduces surprises; Cobolli’s recent stage reps (Djokovic at Wimbledon, ATP titles) outweigh the qualifier bounce.

🔮 Prediction

Passaro can nick pockets if Cobolli starts slow, but over the distance the gap in class, confidence, and fitness points one way.

Pick: Cobolli in straight sets (3–0).

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Clear Cobolli upswing vs. Passaro’s stop‑start year.
• Surface fit: Hard court rewards Cobolli’s flatter first‑strike patterns.
• Serve/return: Edge Cobolli for proactive +1 forehand looks; Passaro steadier in neutral but less penetration.
• Bo5 factor: Fitness/volume lean to Cobolli given Passaro’s stamina flags.
• Mental edge: Seeded confidence & big‑stage reps favor Cobolli.

Munar vs Faria

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Jaume Munar vs Jaime Faria — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Jaume Munar (No. 44, age 28)

• 🇪🇸 Clay-court roots, but much improved on hard in 2025.
• 📈 Hard-court revival: 9–8 this season — QFs in Winston‑Salem & Dallas; Miami R3. Own wins over Shelton & Korda on hard.
• 🏟️ Slams 2025: Pushed Ruud to 5 at AO; reached R2 at RG & Wimbledon.
• ⚠️ US Open history: 1–6 lifetime in NY, lone win in 2018 (vs Bemelmans).
• 💡 Identity: Physical grinder, high rally tolerance; must bury his Flushing Meadows hoodoo.

Jaime Faria (No. 117, age 22)

• 🇵🇹 Lucky loser into the main draw after a Q3 loss to Blanchet.
• 📈 Slam year: AO R2 (took a set off Djokovic), competitive at RG (vs Brooksby), qualified for Wimbledon MD.
• 🔥 Notables: Wins over Munar (Rio) & Djere (Santiago). Transitioning upward from Challenger level.
• 📉 2025 overall: 20–19; tools are there, but decision‑making wobbles under pressure.
• 💡 Style: Energetic pace from the BH side; can overhit when chasing.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Baseline wars: Both want attrition, but Munar’s shot tolerance and physical base have carried better on hard this season. If he holds the baseline and mixes height/shape, Faria’s timing windows shrink.

Confidence & seasoning: Munar’s recent wins over higher‑ranked names prove ceiling and steadiness. Faria has flashed upside in his debut Slam year, but the level dips against mistake‑free defenders.

Best‑of‑five dynamics: Munar’s experience across 16 Slam MDs should show up in set 3–4 patterns. Faria’s pop can nick a set, yet sustaining depth and patience over three hours is the bigger ask.

Tactical key: Munar must stay proactive and change pace; if he drifts passive, Faria can step inside and hit through.

🔮 Prediction

Form, experience, and improved hard‑court patterns point Munar’s way. Expect pockets where Faria’s backhand catches fire, but over distance the Spaniard’s error economy should separate.

Pick: Munar in four sets (3–1).

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Munar steady upward on hard; Faria volatile with spikes.
• Surface fit: Edge Munar via defense‑to‑offense transitions on medium‑paced hard.
• Rally length: Munar favors 10+ ball exchanges; Faria wants earlier strikes from BH.
• Bo5 factor: Conditioning/experience boost to Munar late.
• Nerves: First USO MD as LL for Faria; veteran poise to Munar in tight moments.

James Duckworth vs Tristan Boyer

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James Duckworth vs Tristan Boyer — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

James Duckworth (No. 106, age 33)

• 🇦🇺 Veteran grinder still competing well on tour.
• 📈 US summer: Los Cabos QF (d. Mannarino, Davidovich Fokina), Toronto R2 (d. Shang); entered here as LL after Q3 loss to Piros.
• 🏟️ Slams: Only 2 US Open MD wins in 12 appearances; 27 R1 exits in 37 Slam appearances overall.
• 💡 Game: Solid serve + FH combo, big experience; durability over Bo5 has been an issue.

Tristan Boyer (No. 113, age 24)

• 🇺🇸 Wildcard debutant in the US Open main draw.
• 📊 2025: 16–25 overall, better on hard (11–9).
• 🚀 Highlights: AO R2 as qualifier (5-set win vs Coria); Masters wins at Indian Wells, Toronto, Cincinnati.
• 📉 Dipped on clay/grass; revived on US hard (d. Kovacevic in Toronto, d. Holt in Cincinnati).
• 💡 Style: Aggressive baseliner, thrives on home hard; seeking steadier tour-level consistency.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Experience vs. hunger: Duckworth has the miles and the know-how, but his Slam history keeps the door ajar. Boyer’s résumé shows he can pop in big hard-court spots, even if week-to-week form wobbles.

Physical factor: Best-of-five has bitten Duckworth before. Boyer already owns a five-set Slam win this season, and should welcome longer rallies if he’s managing nerves.

Momentum & cues: Duckworth’s Mexico/Los Cabos run was a positive signal, yet converting that to Slam stability remains the hurdle. Boyer’s wildcard shot at home, plus recent Masters scalps, give him belief to ride the crowd and extend sets.

Keys: Duckworth needs routine holds and veteran composure in breakers. Boyer

Townsend T. - Ruzic A.

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Taylor Townsend vs Antonia Ruzic — US Open 1R Preview

WTA US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Taylor Townsend (No. 139, age 29)

• 🇺🇸 Loves New York — US Open is her best Slam (7 wins; R16 in 2019 as a qualifier).
• 🔥 Summer swing: Washington QF (d. Kenin, Maria), Cincinnati R3 (d. Collins, Samsonova).
• 📊 2025: 16–13 overall, 11–8 on hard.
• 💡 Style: Lefty craft, serve-and-volley instincts, looks to shorten points on quick courts.
• ⚠️ Watch-outs: Physical fades possible in long rallies/sets; thrives with crowd energy.

Antonia Ruzic (No. 69, age 22)

• 🇭🇷 Breakthrough season — cracked top 100 this summer; GS main-draw debut here.
• 🚀 2025: 39–21 with ITF titles + WTA QFs (Båstad, Monterrey).
• 📈 North America: Quality wins over Pavlyuchenkova & Cocciaretto in Monterrey en route to QF.
• 💡 Strengths: Rally tolerance, counterpunching, comfortable grinding from the baseline.
• ⚠️ X-factor: Slam inexperience in a loud Arthur Ashe/Night-session environment.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Townsend’s blueprint is clear: take time away, chip/charge, and force Ruzic to hit passing shots under pressure. The American’s recent wins over Collins and Samsonova prove she can still punch above her ranking when she’s landing first serves and sticking the first volley.

Ruzic brings form and confidence, but this is a step into the deep end. Her best chance is to pin Townsend back with deep returns, drag exchanges cross-court to the BH, and test movement over extended rallies. If Townsend serves well and keeps first-strike patterns crisp, Ruzic’s margin gets squeezed.

The crowd leans Taylor. In swingy momentum patches, that usually nudges the coin her way — especially in breaker/late-set moments where her instincts at net can flip points quickly.

🔮 Prediction

Live underdog feel for Ruzic given season form, but the setting and matchup slightly favor the American. Expect push-and-pull: Ruzic wins baseline wars in spells; Townsend steals rhythm with proactive net rushes. Over distance, experience in New York plus point-shortening patterns tip it.

Pick: Townsend in three sets (2–1).

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Ruzic season-long consistency vs. Townsend’s high‑ceiling spikes.
• Surface fit: Quick hard rewards Townsend’s first‑strike/volley patterns.
• Serve/return: Edge Townsend on serve variety; Ruzic steadier on neutral returns.
• First‑strike vs. grind: Taylor wants 5–7‑shot points; Ruzic prefers 10+ exchanges.
• Nerves factor: Debut Slam MD for Ruzic; late‑set edges to hometown veteran.
• Crowd: Pro‑Townsend — can swing tight moments.