Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini

WTA Finals — Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini

🧠 Form & Context

Aryna Sabalenka (#1, BLR)

• Peak 2025: US Open champion; runner-up at Australian Open & Roland-Garros; 4 titles; 8 finals from 15 events.
• Hard courts: 36–6 (dominant first-strike tennis). Indoors: 1–0 listed.
• WTA Finals history: SF/SF/F in last three editions; still chasing first title here.
• H2H edge: Leads 5–2, winning 4 straight vs Paolini since 2023 (all in straights).
• Recent landmarks: Miami title; wins over Rybakina, Zheng, Pegula in key runs.

Jasmine Paolini (#8, ITA)

• 2025 highlights: Rome champion, Cincinnati finalist; four WTA 1000 SFs.
• Hard courts: 27–12 (consistent baselining, improved serve+first-ball aggression).
• Pre-Riyadh run: 18 wins in last 23 matches across Beijing/Wuhan/Ningbo (QF+).
• WTA Finals history: Group stage in 2024 (1–2).
• Notes: Rumors of minor illness ahead of Riyadh (no official confirmation). 0–6 lifetime vs world No.1s (all straight-set losses).

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