Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini

WTA Wuhan — Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini

Round: Quarterfinal • Surface: Outdoor Hard • Event: China Open (Wuhan)

Tags: Coco Gauff, Jasmine Paolini, WTA Wuhan, Tennis Preview, Hard Court, Match Analysis

🧠 Form & Context

🇺🇸 Coco Gauff

• Wuhan week: d. Uchijima 6–1, 6–0; d. Zhang 6–3, 6–2; d. Siegemund 6–3, 6–0 (just 9 games dropped).
• Beijing: SF (lost to Anisimova); matches 2024 Wuhan SF.
• 2025 hard: 28–9 — broader season strong; hard-court peak arriving on China swing.

🇮🇹 Jasmine Paolini

• Wuhan week: d. Yuan 3–6, 6–4, 6–3; d. Tauson 3–6, 6–1, 3–1 (ret); d. Świątek 6–1, 6–2.
• 2025 highlights: Rome champion, Cincinnati runner-up, Miami SF.
• 2025 hard: 25–10 — snapped 0–6 vs Świątek with a statement QF.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Category	Edge	Quick Note
Serve (1st ball)	Coco Gauff	Higher peak pace & better spot variety → more cheap points.
Return vs 2nd	Coco Gauff	Elite first-strike returning can pin Paolini back.
Baseline weight	Even	Gauff’s FH drive vs Paolini’s depth & angle creation.
Change of direction	Jasmine Paolini	Early timing BH DTL + inside-out FH patterns.
Defense → Offense	Coco Gauff	Movement/athleticism create transition chances.
Current event form	Even	Gauff’s scorelines dominant; Paolini’s signature win vs Świątek.
Clutch / TBs	Coco Gauff	Proven in tight finishes across the season.

🔍 Full Match Breakdown

Serve patterns, return targets, live-bet triggers, and model prices are in the Patreon post:

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