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🇨🇳 WTA Beijing (R1, Hard) — Loïs Boisson vs Dalma Gálfi
🧠 Form & Context
Loïs Boisson
- ✨ Breakout year: from outside the top-350 to Roland-Garros SF (WC) and a WTA 250 Hamburg title.
- 🔄 Surface shift: first tour-level MD win off clay came last week in Seoul (d. Ku); 2025 hard record 1–3.
- 📈 Ranking jump: now No. 41 and making her Beijing debut.
Dalma Gálfi
- 🧭 Route through qualies: beat Fruhvirtová & Kawa to reach the main draw.
- 🧪 2025 blueprint: stronger on clay/grass (Wimbledon R3; three 125K clay finals); hard-court confidence patchy despite a shown 7–4 line.
- 🔢 Ranking No. 97; pre-USO WTA hard MD wins were scarce.
🔢 Head-to-Head
- First meeting (0–0).
🔍 Match Breakdown
Patterns & margins: Boisson builds with shape and controlled aggression — great on clay. On hard, she’ll need cleaner first-strike efficiency (serve + FH) to avoid long neutral exchanges.
Gálfi’s pathways: Stable BH defense with tidy redirects. High first-serve% plus early BH timing can pin Boisson back and test her footwork in quicker conditions.
Acclimation edge: Gálfi already has two wins on these courts from qualies. Boisson is still translating the 2025 surge to hard — Seoul was a start, but Alexandrova exposed the second-serve lane.
Scoreboard pressure: If Boisson protects serve early (low DFs, >60% first serves), her forehand patterns open up. If not, Gálfi’s rhythm and recent reps can make this cagey.
🔮 Prediction
Close on paper, but qualifying reps + matchup stability tilt slightly toward Gálfi right now. Boisson’s ceiling is higher, yet on hard she’s still in the prove-it phase.
Pick: Gálfi in 3 sets. (Boisson live to flip it if she holds >70% behind first serve and keeps points short.)
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
- First-strike reliability on hard: Edge Gálfi (current form).
- Forehand weight/shape: Edge Boisson when settled.
- Second-serve exposure: Edge Gálfi on ROS.
- Rally tolerance: Even — Boisson uses shape; Gálfi redirects with BH cross.
- Venue reps this week: Gálfi (qualifying groove).
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