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Ella Seidel vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — Seoul QF Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Ella Seidel (20, #105)
- 🔥 Qualifier on a heater: four wins in four days, all in three sets (saved MPs vs Hontama and Haddad Maia).
- 📈 Confidence carryover from Cincinnati (beat Navarro & Kessler for a R16).
- ⏳ Workload watch: 10 sets already this week; physical/mental reserve is the question.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (30, #11)
- ♻️ Seoul specialist: champion here in 2022, 4th QF at this event.
- 📦 2025 peak level: 39 wins, six SFs; recent title in Linz and finals in Monterrey.
- 🚨 R16 scare: rallied past Boisson 4–6, 6–2, 6–2 — shook off rust and tightened the patterns.
🔍 Match Breakdown
First-strike tennis: Alexandrova’s flat, early-take ball + serve spots can rush Seidel’s forehand backswing. If EKA lands 60%+ first serves, rallies will stay short on her terms.
Seidel’s path to trouble EKA: mix heights/tempos, loop the FH cross to draw errors off Alexandrova’s BH, and knife low slices to make her hit up. Scoreboard pressure + longer exchanges help the underdog.
Fitness & scheduling: Seidel’s back-to-back marathons vs a fresh, top-15 pace is a tough combo late in sets.
🔮 Prediction
Seidel’s surge is real, but the cumulative mileage plus Alexandrova’s first-strike accuracy tilt this matchup.
Pick: Alexandrova in two sets (tight first set, cleaner second).
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