Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Nardi

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Kovacevic vs Nardi — ATP Hangzhou Preview

ATP Hangzhou Hard Court Round of 32

🧠 Form & Context

Aleksandar Kovacevic (ATP #69)

• 🔥 Hot mid-summer spike: Los Cabos SF → F (d. Rublev; l. Shapovalov).
• 📉 Since then wobbly: early exits at Toronto, Cincinnati, Winston-Salem, USO.
• 🎯 Hard 2025: 13–11; thrives when serve + forehand combo lands early.
• 🧩 Matchup note: trails H2H 0–1 (Estoril ’25).

Luca Nardi (ATP #85)

• 🚀 Cincy lift: beat Shapovalov & Menšík en route to R16 (l. Alcaraz).
• ⚠️ Reset needed: heavy USO R1 loss to Macháč.
• 🎯 Hard 2025: 13–11; likes taking early FH cuts off shorter replies.
• 🧩 H2H edge: 1–0 vs Kovacevic (Estoril ’25).

🔍 Match Breakdown

First-strike chess: Kovacevic’s best tennis comes when he lands a high first-serve rate and steps around for the +1 forehand. Nardi’s timing off short balls can flip rallies quickly, especially if he’s dictating with the forehand early. If exchanges extend, Nardi’s cleaner backhand holds slightly firmer, but Kovacevic’s serve ceiling can erase pressure in a hurry.

🔮 Prediction

Lean Nardi in a tight one given the recent H2H and slightly steadier baseline phase. Kovacevic’s pop gives set equity, yet if Nardi protects his service games, he should edge the key points.

Pick: Nardi in three sets.

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