Get the full slate and in-play cues on Patreon — early angles + closing-line tracking.
Medjedovic vs Mpetshi Perricard — Winston-Salem QF Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Hamad Medjedovic
- 🔥 2025 record: 26–13. SF run in Marseille (d. Medvedev, Khachanov), R3 Roland Garros & Cincinnati (pushed Alcaraz).
- ✅ Winston-Salem debut: wins over Fearnley, Diallo, Rinderknech — all in straights.
- 💪 Known for indoor power but building consistency on hard (6–2 this year).
- ⚠️ Wimbledon retirement (leg issue), but fit this week.
- 🏆 1 ATP title (2023 Gstaad).
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- 🎢 Mixed 2025: 16–17 overall; highs include wins vs Bublik, Mensik, Tiafoe.
- ✅ Winston-Salem run: saved MPs vs Martinez, then dominated Muller in straights.
- 💥 Serve-focused game: elite ace count, thrives in breakers (already 3 deciding-set TBs this swing).
- 📉 Hard record: 8–8 this season; searching for stability.
- 🏆 2 ATP titles (both 2024).
🔍 Match Breakdown
Head-to-head: 1–0 Medjedovic (Barcelona 2025, 7–5, 7–6).
Medjedovic brings a fuller arsenal — heavy baseline drives, big serve, and composure vs top opposition. Mpetshi Perricard’s serve/forehand can dominate short rallies, but his defensive gaps get exposed if points extend.
Winston-Salem’s medium-fast hard rewards first-strike tennis, giving the Frenchman chances to dictate. Yet Medjedovic has already shown he can absorb and redirect the serve bombs, winning their April meeting in straights.
🔮 Prediction
Expect a serve-dominated contest with tiebreaks likely. Medjedovic is steadier from the baseline and has proven clutch in this matchup.
Pick: Medjedovic in 2 tight sets (7–6, 6–4). If Mpetshi Perricard serves at 70%+, a third-set TB looms, but Medjedovic’s balance of return depth and baseline control gives him the edge.
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
- Form trend: Medjedovic strong across surfaces; Mpetshi Perricard streaky.
- Surface fit: Medium-fast hard rewards both; slight edge to serve-dominant Frenchman.
- Baseline edge: Medjedovic steadier in neutral rallies.
- H2H: 1–0 Medjedovic (2025 Barcelona, straights).
- Clutch factor: Both dangerous in TBs, but Medjedovic has handled top-10 pressure better.
No comments:
Post a Comment