Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

ATP Cincinnati — Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Hard court • USA • Quarterfinal

🧠 Form & Context

Jannik Sinner

• 🏆 Wimbledon champion, world No. 1; efficient return from a month-long break.
• 📈 Hardcourt machine: 10–0 in 2025; QF or better in every hard event since 2024.
• 🔥 Nine straight Masters QFs; last six turned into finals.
• 🎯 Cincinnati: defending champion; chasing 5th Masters title and first successful Masters defense.
• 💪 This week: no sets dropped; needed tiebreaks vs Diallo & Mannarino.

Felix Auger-Aliassime

• 🚀 Smooth path: d. Etcheverry, Rinderknech, Bonzi — all in straights; no top-20 yet.
• 🎢 2025: 31–19 with two titles; form patchier vs elite opposition.
• ⚠️ Masters QFs: 2–6, both wins vs non–top-10 players.
• 📊 H2H: Leads 2–0 (pre-2023, incl. Cincy ’22) — less relevant vs current Sinner.
• 💥 Strengths: first-strike tennis, heavy serve, early ball-taking.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Sinner levers: Return depth, rally control, and backhand patterns that neutralize first-strike surges.

FAA path: >70% first serves, fast finishes (1–3 shots), stack easy holds, gamble on a few high-risk return games.

Risk math: Any short dip on serve from FAA can cascade given Sinner’s elite hard-court break pressure.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Jannik Sinner in straight sets — competitive opener, more comfortable finish.