Fritz vs Sonego

ATP Cincinnati

Fritz T. – Sonego L.

🧠 Form & Context

Taylor Fritz

• 🇺🇸 American No. 1: Entered US Open Series expecting a title, but fell QF Washington, SF Toronto.
• ⚠️ Serve under pressure: Still showing vulnerability on serve despite a straight-sets win over Nava in R2.
• 📈 Cincinnati history: Only two R16+ runs in seven prior appearances.
• 🎯 H2H dominance: Leads 6–2, including wins in Miami this year and Cincinnati last year.

Lorenzo Sonego

• 🎢 Streaky season: Only two instances of back-to-back main-draw wins in 2025.
• 🏆 Slam peaks: AO QF and Wimbledon R16 have masked otherwise mediocre results.
• 💥 Dangerous when on: Has Masters upsets in the past (Alcaraz, Rublev in 2021) but rarely strings big wins together.
• 🛑 Big-name barrier: Often pushes top-20 opponents but struggles to close out wins—example Rublev in Toronto, Fritz in Miami.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Serve & return dynamic: Fritz’s flat, penetrating serve + forehand aggression give him control; Sonego’s game reliant on serve rhythm and forehand patterns.

Baseline exchanges: Fritz should have the edge in controlled aggression; Sonego may look to change pace and attack net to disrupt.

Form vs history: Fritz’s season on hard courts (20–7) and strong recent wins over top players contrast with Sonego’s patchy tour-level form.

Mental aspect: Fritz has beaten Sonego in straight sets in last two meetings; the Italian must raise level in key moments to avoid repeat.

🔮 Prediction

Sonego can make this competitive if he serves at a high percentage and gets the forehand firing early, but Fritz’s superior consistency, hard-court pedigree, and H2H edge should see him through without major trouble.

Prediction: Fritz in 2 sets.

🏷️ Labels: ATP Cincinnati, Taylor Fritz, Lorenzo Sonego, Tennis Predictions, Match Preview