Bouzas Maneiro vs Yastremska

Bouzas Maneiro vs Yastremska – Wimbledon R3 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

• 🔄 Repeat run: Matches her 2024 Wimbledon 3R finish, proving last year’s win over Vondroušová wasn’t a fluke.
• 🎯 Straight-shooting: Dispatched Kenin 6-1, 7-6 in R2 after Seidel retired in R1—hasn’t lost a set yet.
• 🧱 Third-round wall: 0-3 in slam R3s since 2024; seeking her first major second-week breakthrough.
• 🧮 Underrated résumé: 9 career top-50 wins, 8 since mid-2024—including Haddad Maia, Noskova, and Sakkari.
• 🌱 Modest grass record: 2-1 this season, but strong footwork and clean strokes translate well when confident.

Dayana Yastremska

• 💣 Blockbuster scalp: Shocked world No. 2 Gauff 7-6, 6-1 in R1, her second career win over a top-2 player.
• 🥵 Survival mode: Narrow escape vs Zakharova in R2—trailed by a set and 3-5 before turning it around in 2h 32m.
• 🔁 Inconsistent Slam form: Holds a 2-6 record in slam 3R matches and hasn’t reached a fourth round since January.
• 🌿 Grass momentum: 8-2 W-L on grass this season, including finals in Nottingham (l. Kessler) and dominant wins in Eastbourne.
• 🔋 Fitness question: Retired in Stuttgart in April and looked physically taxed after her R2 battle—rest and recovery may be key.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Shot tolerance vs firepower: Yastremska brings pace, aggression, and explosive first-strike tennis. Bouzas Maneiro brings steadiness, measured aggression, and clever point construction.
• Service matchup: The Spaniard is efficient but not overpowering. Yastremska’s serve is bigger but erratic under pressure—double-faults can creep in if she’s chasing.
• Baseline exchanges: Bouzas Maneiro likes to counterpunch and redirect pace, which plays well if she extends rallies past five shots. Yastremska prefers to end points in 0–4 shots.
• Physical test: After a draining R2 effort, Yastremska may struggle to match intensity if this goes past 90 minutes. The Spaniard’s fitness and footwork give her an edge in late stages.
• Intangibles: Dayana is streaky—when she’s locked in, she can blitz anyone. But her decision-making under pressure has cost her matches at this stage before.

🔮 Prediction

Yastremska enters as the favorite based on form and power, but the warning signs from her Zakharova comeback and Grand Slam third-round record are hard to ignore. Bouzas Maneiro may not bring fireworks, but she brings a solid game and zero fear.