🎾 ATP Rome: Aleksandar Vukic vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

🎾 ATP Rome: Aleksandar Vukic vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇦🇺 Aleksandar Vukic

• Streak snapped: Ended a ten-match losing streak last week in Estoril by beating Moreno De Alboran and making the semifinals—his first positive run of 2025.
• Rome milestone: Scored his first (and only) Masters 1000 win here last year, defeating Diego Schwartzman.
• Clay inconsistency: While his game can click on quicker dirt, he’s struggled with match rhythm and depth against consistent baseliners.
• Urgency factor: Hasn’t won a tour-level match since January’s Australian Open—needs to solidify ranking points fast.

🇺🇸 Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

• Injury interrupted: After a promising 2024, he entered 2025 rusty—playing only four matches due to injury before Rome.
• Rome rebound: Qualified with impressive wins over Collignon and Zeppieri and looks sharper each match.
• Surface sync: Well-suited to clay with his rally depth, athleticism, and point discipline.
• Revenge angle: Lost narrowly to Vukic in Estoril last week but has had time to adjust and recalibrate.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Vukic relies on his serve and flat baseline aggression—tactics that worked against Moreno in Estoril. But on slower courts, his edge diminishes, especially when rallies stretch and shot tolerance is tested. Rome’s bounce and rhythm play more into Moreno’s hands if he can keep Vukic moving and avoid quick points.

Moreno is the more natural clay-courter, and his recent qualifying matches have likely given him more momentum than Vukic, who enters with fragile confidence despite last week’s run. This could again go the distance, but a slight tactical and fitness edge now favors the American.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran in 3 sets. Expect another close battle, but this time Moreno capitalizes on his improved sharpness and clay court poise.