Thursday, October 30, 2025

Salkova vs Zakharova

Salkova vs Zakharova — Jiujiang R16 Preview
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Salkova vs Zakharova — Jiujiang R16 Preview

WTA Jiujiang Hard Court Round of 16

🧠 Form & Context

🇨🇿 Dominika Salkova (#151, righty)

2025: 28–22 | Hard 7–7 | Indoors 3–1
  • ✅ R1 Jiujiang: d. Falei 7–6(2), 7–5.
  • 🟰 Hard results around .500 this year; returned quickly after a mid-September retirement.
  • 📌 First H2H vs Zakharova.

🇷🇺 Anastasia Zakharova (#99, righty)

2025: 34–30 | Hard 17–18 | Indoors 3–2 | Grass 7–3
  • ✅ R1 Jiujiang: d. Shibahara 6–4, 6–1.
  • 🔁 Busy Asia swing (Beijing qualies wins; Jinan QF); Cleveland WTA SF in August.
  • 💥 Notable: beat Azarenka at Wimbledon R1.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Hard-court seasoning: Zakharova has banked more hard-court reps in 2025 and recently strung together clean wins in China — a boost for rhythm and first-strike confidence.

Scoreline texture: Salkova’s hard matches skew tight (TBs/7–5s). That keeps her live in sets but leaves thin margins against steadier backboards.

Momentum check: Both advanced, but Zakharova’s R1 was cleaner. If she applies early return pressure, Salkova’s second-serve pockets could be the hinge.

Paths to the upset: Salkova needs a high 1st-serve% and to elongate rallies to test Zakharova’s patience; stealing the opening-set tiebreak would swing leverage.

🔮 Prediction

Lean Zakharova: superior hard-court reps and a sharper R1 tilt the balance. Salkova can drag a set long, but Zakharova’s depth should carry key return games.

Pick: Zakharova in two tight sets (one set likely goes long).

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric Dominika Salkova Anastasia Zakharova
2025 Hard (W–L) 7–7 17–18
2025 Indoors (W–L) 3–1 3–2
R1 Jiujiang d. Falei 7–6(2), 7–5 d. Shibahara 6–4, 6–1
H2H First meeting
Edge Summary Can grind long sets; needs high 1st-serve%. Cleaner recent wins; better hard-court volume.

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