Polina Kudermetova vs Maddison Inglis

📊 Daily Tennis Edges & Live-Bet Cues
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Polina Kudermetova vs Maddison Inglis — Beijing R1 Preview

WTA Beijing Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Polina Kudermetova (No. 76)

• 🚀 Brisbane sparkle to start 2025: wins over Samsonova, Kasatkina, Kalinina en route to the final (l. Sabalenka).
• ⛔ Cooled since spring: tight losses (Seidel/Lamens/Stakusic); competitive vs elite (Sabalenka/Świątek/Ostapenko) but fell short.
• 📊 2025 hard: 15–13 (season 16–21). Heavy first strike; second serve can leak.

Maddison Inglis (No. 158)

• 🔋 Match-tough: qualified here (d. Erjavec, Masarova in three).
• 📈 Volume scorer across levels: 2025 hard 23–15 (season 26–20).
• 🧭 Style: clean BH, solid patterns, good depth; less raw power but steadier rally tolerance.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Serve/Return: Kudermetova’s first-serve + forehand combo can take the racquet out of Inglis’ hands. Maddi’s route is to jump on Polina’s second serve and keep the BH up-the-line change alive.

Rally Dynamics: Physical exchanges favor Inglis’ consistency and recent reps; a quick-tempo, first-strike script favors Polina’s heavier ball.

Form vs Ceiling: Inglis brings momentum from qualies; Polina brings the higher ceiling (Brisbane proof). Big-point execution likely swings a tight opener.

🔮 Prediction

Close, live-bet style match. Lean the upside if Polina’s first-serve percentage holds and double faults stay in check.

Pick: Kudermetova in three sets (breaker possible; watch 1st-serve% and DFs as swing stats).