🎾 Auger-Aliassime vs Engel – ATP Stuttgart QF

🎾 Auger-Aliassime vs Engel – ATP Stuttgart QF Preview

🗓️ Date: 13 June 2025 | 🏟️ Surface: Grass | 🎯 Round: Quarterfinal

🧠 Form & Context

Justin Engel
🇩🇪 Local Wonderkid: Just 17 years old and ranked outside the Top 250, Engel has thrilled the Stuttgart crowd with a dream run from qualifying to the quarterfinals.
🎯 Back-to-Back Upsets: Took down Duckworth in three and then stunned Alex Michelsen in straight sets—playing fearless, high-IQ tennis.
🌱 Grass Breakthrough: This is his first-ever ATP grass event, and he’s now 2–0. A sensational debut.
🧱 Big Step Up: Most of his 2025 season has come at Futures and Challenger level—this is a major leap in opponent quality.

Felix Auger-Aliassime
🏆 Former Finalist: Two-time runner-up in Stuttgart (2019, 2021) and a proven grass performer with a 27–17 record on the surface.
📈 2025 Resurgence: Titles in Adelaide and Montpellier, plus strong runs in Dubai and Hamburg signal a return to form.
💪 Controlled Power: Dispatched Mpetshi Perricard in R2 with clean, efficient grass-court tennis.
🧠 Big-Match Maturity: Hasn’t dropped a set this week and is clearly eyeing another Stuttgart final.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Engel has turned heads with his poise and baseline discipline. He returns better than expected for his age and serves with confidence. But now he faces a player with elite grass pedigree and a very complete offensive package.

Auger-Aliassime’s serve and forehand are tailor-made for grass—flat, powerful, and able to open the court quickly. He will look to prevent Engel from finding rhythm, stepping inside the baseline to control tempo and force short points.

If Engel wants to stay competitive, he must protect his serve and find ways to draw Felix into longer rallies. He’ll also need the crowd to play a role, especially if the match tightens late in a set. But the tactical and physical gulf may prove too much.

🔮 Prediction

This has been a breakout week for Engel and a major confidence boost for his future, but this is where the run likely ends. Felix has been sharp, composed, and clinical all week—and should handle this matchup with professionalism.

🎯 Pick: Felix Auger-Aliassime in straight sets – something like 6–4, 6–3. Engel fights well but finds himself outgunned.

💰 Betting Angles

• ✔️ Auger-Aliassime -4.5 Games: Good value given potential for one break per set.
• ✔️ Under 20.5 Games: Short, serve-dominant sets likely unless Engel snatches an early lead.
• ✔️ 2–0 Felix: Strong favorite to close this efficiently given form and surface record.