🎾 Roland Garros R1: Pablo Carreño Busta vs Francisco Comesaña

🎾 Roland Garros R1: Pablo Carreño Busta vs Francisco Comesaña – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇪🇸 Pablo Carreño Busta
🩼 Still chasing fitness: Since returning from a long injury layoff, PCB has struggled to string together wins and often fades in extended matches.
🔄 Downshifted to Challengers: Dropped to the Challenger Tour earlier this year and won a title, but couldn’t carry momentum back to ATP level.
⏳ Clay credentials: Former French Open quarterfinalist (2017), but hasn’t won a match here since 2021.
📉 2025 main tour record: Just 2 main-draw wins all season, both followed by exhausting three-set losses that highlight his physical limitations.
🇦🇷 Francisco Comesaña
📈 On the rise: Earned his first ATP wins in 2023 and has now established himself as a dangerous clay-court grinder with a top-70 ranking.
🧨 Upset specialist: 4–2 against top-20 players, including wins over Rublev (Wimbledon 2023) and Humbert (US Open 2023).
🌱 RG debut: Surprisingly, this will be his first appearance at Roland Garros, despite playing all three other Slams before.
💪 Physically ready: Known for stamina and consistency, traits that should serve him well on the Paris clay.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This match is a classic test of experience vs. form. On paper, a healthy Pablo Carreño Busta would be a heavy favorite—he’s the former world No. 10 and has the pedigree to back it. But in reality, his ongoing fitness issues, especially in three-set matches, make him highly vulnerable. Comesaña isn’t flashy, but he’s patient, solid from the baseline, and thrives in physical, grinding rallies—exactly the kind of contest PCB has struggled to endure in 2025. If the match goes the distance, the Argentine is strongly favored to outlast the Spaniard. PCB needs to win this efficiently, ideally in straight sets, to have a realistic shot. But with his current level and Comesaña’s clay-court tenacity, that seems unlikely.

🔮 Prediction

Unless Carreño Busta can summon his old form and finish quickly, this match is likely to turn into a grueling affair—and that’s where Comesaña shines. 🧩 Prediction: Comesaña in 4 sets. Expect a close first two sets before the Argentine pulls away as PCB’s legs fade.