Thursday, September 11, 2025

Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic

Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic — Guadalajara R2
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Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic — Guadalajara R2

WTA Guadalajara Hard Court Second Round

🧠 Form & Context

Jelena Ostapenko (🇱🇻, #24, Righty, 177 cm/68 kg)

  • ⚖️ Mixed season: title in Stuttgart, final in Doha; only six wins across last eight events.
  • 🚦 Recent: USO 2R loss (to Townsend); R16/QF drought outside the two peaks.
  • 💣 High-variance first-strike tennis — overwhelming when timing clicks.

Marina Stakusic (🇨🇦, #155, Righty)

  • 🔺 Qualified, then beat P. Kudermetova (from a set down) after saving MPs in qualies.
  • 🌡️ 2025 hard: 7–10, but Guadalajara tends to unlock her game (QF here in 2024).
  • 🧠 Composed late in sets; willing to absorb pace and counter.

🔍 Snapshot

  • Tempo: Ostapenko dictates with first strike; Stakusic looks to absorb and redirect.
  • Return pressure: Both can feast on second serves — early breaks are live.
  • Volatility watch: If Ostapenko’s first-serve% dips, momentum can swing fast in this altitude.

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