Tuesday, May 27, 2025

WTA French Open – Jessica Pegula vs Anca Alexia Todoni

WTA French Open – Jessica Pegula vs Anca Alexia Todoni

🧠 Form & Context

Jessica Pegula
🇺🇸 American #1: Reached the final in Miami and won titles in Austin and Charleston—her first career clay title.
📉 Euro clay slump: Has a 3–4 record on European clay this spring, with losses to Uchijima, Mertens, and Kalinskaya.
🏛️ Slam threat: US Open finalist in 2024, with eight total finals in the past 12 months—four of them at WTA 1000 or above.
📍 RG history: Quarterfinalist in 2022 and a steady performer in Grand Slam early rounds.

Anca Alexia Todoni
🌱 Young potential: 20-year-old Romanian with three WTA 125K titles on clay since 2023.
🛑 Injury setback: Retired from Madrid and withdrew from Rome due to a left knee injury—fitness remains a question mark.
📉 Tour-level record: Just 4–7 in WTA main draws and 0–3 against top-50 opponents.
🎯 Home clay comfort: Has solid foundations on clay, but yet to prove herself against top-tier competition.

🔍 Match Breakdown

On paper and in practice, this is a mismatch. Pegula’s consistency, decision-making, and shot selection make her a nightmare for inexperienced players. Even though she’s not in peak clay form, her floor is still much higher than Todoni’s current ceiling.

Todoni has proven herself at the ITF and 125K level, but transitioning to WTA main draws—especially against a top-5 player at a Slam—is another matter entirely. Add in recent injury concerns, and the challenge becomes even steeper.

🔮 Prediction

This should be a routine win for Pegula, who will look to start strong and avoid long baseline exchanges that could allow Todoni to settle in. Unless something unusual happens, Pegula should dominate.

Prediction: Jessica Pegula in straight sets — efficient, clean, and composed from start to finish 🇺🇸🎾

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